Monday, May 27, 2024

AR-Sen: New Talk Business Poll Released

Talk Business polled 1,167 statewide voters regarding their preference in the Democratic preferential primary for U.S. Senator.  The results:

38%  Blanche Lincoln
31%  Bill Halter
10%  D.C. Morrison
20%  Undecided

The margin of error is +/- 3%, which means that we can only just barely say with any certainty that voters prefer Lincoln to Halter.  (See this post for an explanation.)  The 20% undecided struck me as a surprisingly high number, too, given how polarizing this race seems to be; I can’t think of a single person I know who doesn’t have strong feelings for one candidate or the other.

Also of note in this poll is that it was conducted by Zata3, a Washington D.C.-based Democrat-aligned polling firm.  The polls for AR-House races that were released last week were conducted by The Political Firm, which raised some eyebrows due to the firm’s ties to Gilbert Baker.

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