AR-01: Debate Wrap-Up

Saturday’s “so-called debate” between Democratic candidates for AR-01 did not offer much in the way of differentiation between the candidates according to The Baxter Bulletin.  I guess the author of the article was hoping one of the candidates would wear a clown suit or speak with a Cockney accent, because I see plenty in the article to separate the group.…

AR-Sen, AR-01: In The Blogs

Blanche Lincoln:  Bill Halter takes money from organized labor, and he will answer to them rather than to the voters.

Reality: Pot, meet kettle.  (h/t Blue Arkansas Blog)

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I have a short post upcoming about some potential issues with the methodology in the Talk Business polls.  However, one thing that does not seem to be getting near enough mention from blogs (but does seem to show up in blog comments a little bit) is the questionable use of The Political Firm to conduct the polling.…

AR-04: Huckabee backs Rankin

Ex-governor Mike Huckabee is an endorsing machine these days.  The most recent endorsee is  Beth Anne Rankin.

That’s “Former Miss Arkansas Beth Anne Rankin” in some circles.

Or some of you might know her as “that one woman who sang ‘God Bless America’ at a Palin event.”

I just think of her as “that candidate who is going to lose handily to Mike Ross.”  It’s versatile label that can be applied to Rankin or her challenger, Glenn Gallas.…

AR-02: Poll Results Surprising, But Not For Reasons You Might Think

Talk Business polled 446 voters in the second congressional district, and the results were a little surprising, at least on the surface.

21% Joyce Elliott
16% Robbie Wills
11% Patrick Kennedy
7% David Boling
4% John Adams
41% Undecided

A few thoughts on these numbers:

First, while everyone knew Elliott was a strong candidate, I don’t think anyone planned on her pacing the field at this point. …

AR-Sen: Lincoln Continues To Make Bizarre Campaign Decisions

So, let me get this straight…

Blanche Lincoln was comfortably ahead by double digits about a month ago.  Rather than run ads promoting herself and acting like Bill Halter didn’t exist, she chose to go negative, and her poll numbers have take a predictable hit.  (Note to front-running candidates: negative only works if (a) it’s done creatively and (b) you are trailing, not leading.)

Then, despite being one of the most visible Senators who worked to strip the public option from HCR and who voted against the reconciliation bill, she chooses to try and spin her one “yes” vote for the original Senate bill into “standing with President Obama.”  Worse, she targets primarily African-American communities, almost as if she assumed that those voters would be swayed by a pro-Obama commercial rather than by the mountain of evidence to the contrary. …